Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time?

Intervention Timing and Its Implications for Force Planning

Nonfiction, Science & Nature, Mathematics, Probability, Statistics, History, Military, Strategy
Cover of the book Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time? by Jennifer Kavanagh, RAND Corporation
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Author: Jennifer Kavanagh ISBN: 9780833079039
Publisher: RAND Corporation Publication: May 9, 2013
Imprint: RAND Corporation Language: English
Author: Jennifer Kavanagh
ISBN: 9780833079039
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Publication: May 9, 2013
Imprint: RAND Corporation
Language: English
Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.
View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart
Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.

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