Fertility Decline and Background Independence

Applying a Reaction-Diffusion System as a Stochastic Process

Nonfiction, Social & Cultural Studies, Social Science, Demography, Sociology
Cover of the book Fertility Decline and Background Independence by Shuichirou Ike, Springer Japan
View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart
Author: Shuichirou Ike ISBN: 9784431551515
Publisher: Springer Japan Publication: August 3, 2015
Imprint: Springer Language: English
Author: Shuichirou Ike
ISBN: 9784431551515
Publisher: Springer Japan
Publication: August 3, 2015
Imprint: Springer
Language: English

In this book the author maintains that fertility declines independently of its “background”. Normally, fertility decline is thought to occur as a result of alteration in the socioeconomic background such as the decline of the infant mortality rate, urbanization, the level of literacy, and so on. This point of view has been regarded as equivalent to “demographic transition”. However, the concept of demographic transition is so superficial, naïve and unscientific that it should be applied merely to the ostensible demographic phenomena, not to the mechanisms of fertility decline. The author regards this way of thinking, i.e., that the occurrence of fertility decline is dependent on socioeconomic background, as the “background dependence” of fertility decline. On the contrary, there is considerable counterevidence to the background dependence of fertility decline. The argument is made that background dependence lacks positive evidence and predictability and consequently, is falsifiable. That decisive counterevidence is introduced in this book. The author revives the diffusion hypothesis of fertility decline at the point of the number of children per couple as the reaction–diffusion process in a mathematical equation. Fertility decline in Europe in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries occurred as a reaction–diffusion process independent of socioeconomic background. In Japan as well, fertility (the number of children per couple) declined independently of background. This book provides ample evidences persuasively demonstrating this independence of fertility in Japan. The occurrence of marriage is also independent of socioeconomic background. Thus the author formalizes the marriage function as an integral equation of marriage probability, as a result, it demonstrates a better fit with the observed data than does any other marriage function. Occurrence of marriage is almost solely dependent on the density of marriages that occur in a given subspace.

View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart

In this book the author maintains that fertility declines independently of its “background”. Normally, fertility decline is thought to occur as a result of alteration in the socioeconomic background such as the decline of the infant mortality rate, urbanization, the level of literacy, and so on. This point of view has been regarded as equivalent to “demographic transition”. However, the concept of demographic transition is so superficial, naïve and unscientific that it should be applied merely to the ostensible demographic phenomena, not to the mechanisms of fertility decline. The author regards this way of thinking, i.e., that the occurrence of fertility decline is dependent on socioeconomic background, as the “background dependence” of fertility decline. On the contrary, there is considerable counterevidence to the background dependence of fertility decline. The argument is made that background dependence lacks positive evidence and predictability and consequently, is falsifiable. That decisive counterevidence is introduced in this book. The author revives the diffusion hypothesis of fertility decline at the point of the number of children per couple as the reaction–diffusion process in a mathematical equation. Fertility decline in Europe in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries occurred as a reaction–diffusion process independent of socioeconomic background. In Japan as well, fertility (the number of children per couple) declined independently of background. This book provides ample evidences persuasively demonstrating this independence of fertility in Japan. The occurrence of marriage is also independent of socioeconomic background. Thus the author formalizes the marriage function as an integral equation of marriage probability, as a result, it demonstrates a better fit with the observed data than does any other marriage function. Occurrence of marriage is almost solely dependent on the density of marriages that occur in a given subspace.

More books from Springer Japan

Cover of the book Annual, Lunar, and Tidal Clocks by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Molecular Pathogenesis and Treatment of Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Physical Activity, Exercise, Sedentary Behavior and Health by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Long-Term Care for Frail Older People by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Co-design for a New East Asia After the Crisis by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Governance of Urban Sustainability Transitions by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Neurochemical Monitoring in the Intensive Care Unit by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Practical Techniques in Flap Surgery by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Intestinal Anisakiasis in Japan by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Progress in Advanced Structural and Functional Materials Design by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Social Learning and Innovation in Contemporary Hunter-Gatherers by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Advanced Ceramic Technologies & Products by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Groundwater as a Key for Adaptation to Changing Climate and Society by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book A Color Atlas of Hysteroscopy by Shuichirou Ike
Cover of the book Algebraic and Computational Aspects of Real Tensor Ranks by Shuichirou Ike
We use our own "cookies" and third party cookies to improve services and to see statistical information. By using this website, you agree to our Privacy Policy