Philip Tetlock: 4 books
Super voorspellers
goed voorspellen is een manier van denken - en iedereen kan het leren
Language: Dutch
Release Date: October 13, 2015
Veel van onze beslissingen worden gestuurd door verwachtingen over de toekomst. Of je nu beleidsmaker bent, op de beurs handelt, een product wilt lanceren of een carrièreswitch overweegt, je doet voorspellingen. Het probleem is: we zijn er niet erg goed in. Philip Tetlock ontdekte na langlopend onderzoek...
Superforecasting
The Art and Science of Prediction
Language: English
Release Date: September 29, 2015
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST
“The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal
Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future,...
Expert Political Judgment
How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition
Language: English
Release Date: August 29, 2017
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.
Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people...
by Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner
Language: German
Release Date: July 28, 2016
Language: German
Release Date: July 28, 2016
Der Psychologe und Politikwissenschaftler Philip Tetlock gibt in seinem leichtverständlichen Wissenschafts-Sachbuch ›Superforecasting. Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose‹ eine Anleitung für treffsichere Prognosen in einer unsicheren Zeit."Superforecaster" sind Menschen, denen erstaunlich...